作別2011，云計算技術日趨成熟的不可思議的一年。下面是我對2012年的幾點預測。
1.PAAS熱身賽：Azure vs. Cloud Foundry vs. CloudShift
在2012年，平臺即服務（PaaS）將作為一種創新的“云”應用引入市場，并引起更多注意。微軟將主導Windows / .NET開發社區，Cloud Foundry和CloudShift都將從測試版和為PaaS霸權的爭奪戰中嶄露頭角。
2.私有云回擊：OpenStack，CloudForms，vCloud
2011年，我們已經看到了關于私有云價值的激烈辯論。2012年，隨著企業開始構建私有云，其價值也就顯而易見了。這些新的私有云起初可能很小，但隨著混合云部署的道路鋪好以后他們會迅速增長。
3.IT商業化導致重大安全漏洞
你已經聽到很多關于BYOD（自備設備）和員工以內部IT之外的生產力的名義使用免費的云提供商的服務。在2012年，我們將看到一個大企業因為這些所謂的提高生產力的云應用而遭受漏洞。一組用戶的一個無辜的行為可能就會阻止這個動作。
4.云綜合
在2012年，我們將見證通過企業云計算技術的快速綜合。專有軟件廠商將尋求規模較小的開源廠商希望在縮小產品差距的同時擺脫他們的傳統形象。像MySQL這類的未受保護的開源項目將尤其誘惑人收購，因為他們可以在一個單獨公司的控制和相應的貨幣化下獲得。
5.網絡監管的興起
在2012年，我們將繼續看到在云的網絡層的戲劇性的變化。OpenFlow，Nicira，BigSwitch，思科（LineSider）和其他人將看到在查詢和技術部署上的興起。最后，至少有一個主要的監管程序廠商（Citirx中，VMware，微軟，或紅帽）將有機或通過收購進入這個舞臺。
As we say goodbye to 2011, it’s been an incredible year of technology as the cloud continues to mature. Here’s a few of my predictions for 2012.
1. PAAS Heats Up: Azure vs. Cloud Foundry vs. CloudShift
In 2012, platform-as-a-service will garner much attention as new and innovative “cloud” applications are introduced into the market. While Microsoft will dominate the Windows/.NET development community, both Cloud Foundry and CloudShift will emerge from betas and battle it out for PAAS supremacy.
2. Private Cloud Comeback: OpenStack, CloudForms, vCloud
3. Commercialization of IT leads to major security breach
You’ve been hearing a lot about BYOD (bring your own device) and employees using free cloud providers for services in the name of productivity outside of the purview of internal IT. In 2012, we will see a large Enterprise experience a breach because of these so-called productivity enhancing cloud applications. An innocent act by a group of users will set this movement back.
In 2011, we have seen a raging debate regarding the value of a private cloud. In 2012, the value will be clearly articulated as Enterprises begin to build-out private cloud environments.. These new private clouds will start small but they will quickly grow while paving the way hybrid cloud deployments.
4. Cloud Consolidation
In 2012 we will see the rapid consolidation of cloud technologies across the industry. Proprietary software vendors will seek smaller open source vendors in hopes of shedding their legacy images while closing product gaps. Unprotected Open Source projects ala MySQL will be especially tempting to acquire as they can be brought under the control of a single company and monetized accordingly.
5. Rise of the Network Hypervisor
In 2012 we will continue to see dramatic changes within the network layer of the cloud. OpenFlow, Nicira, BigSwitch, Cisco (LineSider) and others will see an uptick in inquiries and deployment of the technology. Finally, at least one of the major hypervisor vendors (Citirx, VMware, Microsoft, or Red Hat) will jump into this arena either organically or via an acquisition.
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